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Posted by➤◉────────── 0:001 year ago
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The post died well before I decided to clean it up and it was rather controversial the first time around. Let's hope for a better experience.
One of the memes involving Kurzweil's predictions is that you're supposed to add ten years to whatever date he gives.
Turns out, that's true.
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Kurzweil's 2009:
It's really uncanny how bang-on he got all these predictions. Literally (classically literally, not figuratively literally) the only hang-up is that he set them ten years too early and then doubled-down on them when shown that they were wrong at the time.
To those who think he's somehow still right: well, here's the thing.
Kurzweil's2019:
*(thiscommenthasbeenpaidforbytheNSA)
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Just for lulz, here's Kurzweil's 2029:
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Phew! That was longer than I remembered it being. It's around 24,000 characters now, actually! But I needed to prove a point— Ray Kurzweil has made a lot of very accurate predictions, but they lack precision. Uncannily, they all lack precision by the same amount of time— roughly ten years.
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He's planning to release The Singularity is Nearer next year (IIRC), and if he does, I really hope he takes all this into account. It serves no one to keep doubling down on failed years for proven predictions. It's possible that the timeline of predictions will begin smooshing together as time goes on thanks to increased computing power and increasingly powerful and generalized AI so that his '2029' or '2039' predictions may wind up coming true on time.
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